The Conservative Party of Canada leads in the latest Nanos ballot tracking, with the Liberals in second place after a 5% decline over the past four weeks.
The Conservatives are three points above the governing Liberals, with the third-place NDP winning with a six-point increase over the same period.
Nik Nanos, chief data scientist and founder of Nanos Research, said Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party is “pressured” by what looks like “disgruntled, disappointed and disgruntled” Liberals currently giving their support to the New Democrats .
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“This is really bad news for liberals right now,” Nanos said on the latest CTV News Trend Line podcast, published Wednesday. Nanos invoked the vote split enjoyed by Stephen Harper’s Conservatives, who won a majority in 2011 after a bottom-up NDP led by Jack Layton helped split the vote to the left.
“It’s like ‘Back to the Future,'” Nanos said. “If it holds, it will be very good news for Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives, if the NDP does it well.
It’s a “perfect storm” for the Conservatives and NDP, Nanos said, both of which are chipping away at Liberal support.
“The Liberals need to do something to shake some of these progressive voters who are drifting towards the New Democrats, back to the Liberals,” he said. “But you know what? Right now Jagmeet Singh should be Pierre Poilievre’s best friend. You’ll never see Pierre Poilievre attack Jagmeet Singh. He’s going to want him to perform well so those votes get split for the Tories to show up in the middle and win more seats in the House of Commons.
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